Trump is back in the headlines, and it may cost Republicans in the midterm elections
History, though, can only be a guiding force. There isn’t always an analogy to what is happening in the present.
This unusual situation is where we begin our look at the week of politics that was, as we try to figure out what happens to the presidential penalty when there are two presidents in the spotlight.
In other words, the more Trump is on people’s minds, the better Democrats are doing.
And while you might think that negative views of Biden would upstage negative views of Trump given who’s currently president, that may not be the case.
What all this means is that Democrats may not lose a lot of seats this time around. Most forecasts for the House have them keeping their losses below 20 seats. They’re favored (if slightly) to hold on to the Senate.
It’s an outcome Democrats should be happy to accept, given what normally happens in midterms.
Biden gains in popularity
While Trump has been dominating the news, the man who currently holds the job of president has seen something unusual happen to his approval rating: It’s gone up as we approach the midterm elections.
Biden’s approval rating is up to about 42% in an average of polls. This is a climb from about 37% during the last 10 days of July. Biden’s been basically gaining a point a week in his approval rating since that time.
But history is something that Biden’s presidency isn’t following perfectly. Over a similar period during their presidencies, none of the last four presidents saw their approval ratings rise.
Additionally, it’s not like Biden has only been gaining back voters from within his base. Yes, his approval rating among Democrats has gone up by about 6 points or so in an average of polls. It has jumped by a similar margin among independents too.
Of course, we’ll see in a few months how good of a strategy that ends up being. Biden’s approval rating still isn’t high, even if it’s up. If Democrats end up losing control of both the House and Senate come November, they may regret any embrace of the President.
For your brief encounters: Just when is fall?
Asking when autumn begins seems like a simple question. But just like when it comes to what to call the season after summer and before winter (i.e., is it autumn or fall?), there is more than one answer.
In fact, three days can claim to be the first day of fall. Meteorological autumn begins on September 1. Many people regard Labor Day, which is on September 5 this year, to be the final day of summer. We also have the astronomical equinox on September 22 this year.
I’ll go against the grain and offer the answer not polled: Autumn began Thursday with the start of the month.